Most geopolitical risk firms produce qualitative narratives — expert judgment delivered as written assessments. The Jamie Index and Civil War Net Score are calibrated, quantitative instruments: each reading is anchored to a verified historical baseline, updated monthly, and produces a single number that can be tracked, backtested, and integrated into decision frameworks. That is what makes them licensable.
Jamie Coats presents the quantitative case for US structural risk to institutional audiences — asset managers, sovereign wealth funds, family offices, law firms, and policy bodies. The briefing format is anchored to live readings of the Jamie Index and Civil War Net Score, with scenario projections and decision-relevant framing. The material does not follow the news cycle. It precedes it.
Jamie developed the worst-case geopolitical framework predicting US institutional fracture and Russian opportunism in March 2024 — six months before Jamie Dimon declared at the Institute of International Finance that "World War III has already begun." The analytical track record is part of the presentation.
Topics include: The Rupture Window and what it means for capital allocation; US institutional fracture and the nuclear opportunism window; the Civil War Net Score — what four hundred years of historical data say about where the United States stands; independent instruments vs. narrative risk — why measurement matters.
For institutions requiring more than a subscription — a bespoke analysis that applies the Jamie Index and Civil War Net Score methodology to a specific portfolio, geography, or decision. Engagements are structured around your question, not a pre-written report. Jamie Coats works directly with the client; there is no analyst layer.
Typical engagement formats include a structured scenario briefing (current trajectory, three forward scenarios, decision implications), a portfolio exposure review applying the Index to specific asset classes or geographies, or an ongoing retained advisory relationship with monthly updates and direct access.
Organisations may licence the Jamie Index and/or the Civil War Net Score for internal risk management, client-facing products, research publications, or proprietary portfolio frameworks. A licence grants the right to use the monthly readings, the backtested data series, the methodology documentation, and the Jamie Capital brand attribution in approved contexts.
Licences are available as internal-use only (risk desks, compliance, investment committees) or client-facing (embedded in research products, adviser portals, or investment case materials). Licence terms are structured per application; pricing is based on scope and distribution. All licences require attribution to Jamie.Capital Research.
Miradouro Asset Management (Minas Gerais, Brazil) holds a commercial licence to the Jamie Index for use in client-facing investment products and advisory services. Under licence, Miradouro applies the Index to its investment case for Brazilian real assets — framing the geopolitical risk environment identified by the Jamie Index as the structural context for portfolio positioning in the current period.
All engagements are handled directly by Jamie Coats. Describe your requirement briefly — format, timeline, and context — and we will respond within two business days.
team@jamiecapital.com